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Brookings & Nairobi
The Science of
Prediction Markets
Tabiri Labs is a US–Kenya research program where scholars learn the deep mechanics of prediction markets, build trading systems, and deploy models on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Where scholars become market scientists.
Tabiri Labs — Science of Markets — is the US–Kenya university research program for prediction market theory, programming, and applied trading. Led by Simon (Chief Executive) and Peter (Chief Scientist), we bridge academic rigour across two continents with live market execution.
Members move from understanding market mechanics to writing algorithms that actively trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. This is not a betting program — this is systematic, scientific inquiry into how information becomes price, conducted jointly across Nairobi and Brookings.
Our Tabiri model suite is built and iterated by program members. The data you see in the live panel above is our system performing in production — right now.
Brookings, SD · USA
Nairobi, Kenya
Brookings
- Senior Performance Marketing Manager — Template Marketing Agency
- Campus Director — Hult Prize Foundation, Nairobi
Nairobi
- Lead Computer Scientist & Systems Architect — Inceptor ICT Center, Nairobi
- Robotics Scientist & Instructor — Tinker Education, Nairobi
- Educator — American Spaces Nairobi & Digital Skills for Africa
Real scholars.
Real markets.
Our scholars don't just study prediction markets — they build the systems that trade them. From first principles to live Tabiri deployments, every member ships. Two cities, one scientific standard.
Brookings, SDNairobi, KEThree tracks. One scientific standard.
Market Science Fundamentals
The theory of prediction markets — how they aggregate information, why they outperform expert consensus, and how Kalshi and Polymarket work mechanically. Built for scholars, not gamblers.
Systems Programming
Write bots and algorithms that query live APIs, model probabilities, and execute trades. Python, data science, and signal processing — the full engineering stack of a prediction system.
Live Deployment
Deploy on real markets. Track performance. Iterate the Tabiri model. The best systems earn contributor status, recognition in release notes, and access to advanced Tabiri builds.
What you'll learn & build.
Prediction Market Theory
Efficient markets, the wisdom of crowds, Bayesian updating, and the information economics behind market prices. Why prediction markets work — and when they fail.
Kalshi & Polymarket Deep Dive
Platform mechanics, resolution criteria, liquidity structures, and API access. How to read an order book, size a position, and understand market-maker dynamics.
Data Collection & Signal Building
Scraping, API pipelines, and structuring datasets for prediction. Building features from news, economic releases, and social signal streams.
Probability Modelling & ML
Logistic regression, gradient boosting, and neural network approaches to probability estimation. Calibration, scoring rules, and evaluating model quality.
Automated Trading Systems
Building and back-testing trading bots. REST and WebSocket API integration with Kalshi and Polymarket. Position management and risk controls.
Tabiri Model Development
Contributing to Tabiri Labs's live prediction suite. Submitting experiments, running evaluations, and co-authoring the model iteration cycle across both campuses.
Models built by scholars, deployed to live markets.
Tabiri-V — Public Model
84% accuracy. Production-grade prediction model built and maintained by Tabiri Labs. Deployed live — powers the live panel above.
Tabiri-X — Members-Only Super-Model
98% accuracy. Free for all active Tabiri Labs members. The highest-precision prediction tool in the Tabiri suite — members-only access.
Continuous Iteration
Members across Nairobi and Brookings contribute experiments, datasets, and code. The best contributions are incorporated into Tabiri and credited in release notes.
Contribute. Get Tabiri-X free.
Tabiri Labs runs on a contributor model. Campus students, labs, and institutions in Nairobi and Brookings can contribute in several ways — and in return receive Tabiri-X access and recognition.
Scientific Research
Run experiments, build datasets, evaluate models, and publish findings. Contribute to the Tabiri development cycle with rigorous analysis from either campus.
Systems & Code
Build and run prediction system components. Provide API telemetry, feedback, and contribute to Tabiri's engineering stack.
Campus Outreach
Run Tabiri Labs chapters across Nairobi and Brookings. Recruit fellow scholars and grow the US–Kenya network of prediction market scientists.
Markets aggregate truth.
Science explains how.
Tabiri Labs exists at the intersection of information economics, data science, and live market execution — operating across Nairobi and Brookings, South Dakota. If you want to understand how the world prices its own future and build the systems that do it better, this is your place.